Notre Dame
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
2  Anna Rohrer SO 19:08
68  Annie Heffernan SO 19:54
136  Danielle Aragon SR 20:09
267  Lexi Pelletier JR 20:29
289  Rachel DaDamio SO 20:32
459  Sydney Foreman JR 20:52
678  Jessica Harris SO 21:10
777  Ashlyn Rambo SO 21:17
781  Sydni Meunier SR 21:17
1,277  Taylor Driscoll SR 21:49
1,294  Kaitlin Frei JR 21:50
National Rank #15 of 344
Great Lakes Region Rank #3 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 93.4%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 3.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 70.2%


Regional Champion 9.0%
Top 5 in Regional 92.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Anna Rohrer Annie Heffernan Danielle Aragon Lexi Pelletier Rachel DaDamio Sydney Foreman Jessica Harris Ashlyn Rambo Sydni Meunier Taylor Driscoll Kaitlin Frei
National Catholic Invitational 09/16 839 20:09 20:11 20:53 20:50 21:33 22:00 21:28
Joe Piane Invitational (Gold) 09/30 1143 20:55 21:03 21:16 21:41
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 531 19:12 19:54 20:22 20:25 20:45 21:40
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 21:05 21:49 22:15
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 518 19:14 19:47 20:21 20:26 20:45 20:53
ACC Championships 10/28 425 19:04 19:42 19:56 20:20 20:43 20:46 22:08 21:53 21:18
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/11 383 19:07 19:50 19:54 20:25 20:17 21:02 20:44





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 93.4% 16.2 430 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.1 3.0 3.1 3.4 3.3 4.6 3.8 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.1 6.4 5.8 5.6 5.0 4.6 3.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.3 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2
Region Championship 100% 3.5 111 9.0 16.1 23.5 25.8 18.3 5.7 1.2 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Anna Rohrer 100% 3.7 17.1 15.1 11.2 9.3 7.1 5.8 4.9 3.6 3.5 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.5 1.9 1.5 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2
Annie Heffernan 93.7% 69.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7
Danielle Aragon 93.4% 114.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Lexi Pelletier 93.4% 177.0
Rachel DaDamio 93.4% 182.3
Sydney Foreman 93.4% 220.4
Jessica Harris 93.4% 238.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Anna Rohrer 1.3 33.9 52.5 8.9 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Annie Heffernan 10.3 0.4 3.6 5.6 6.0 6.3 6.3 6.4 7.0 6.8 6.2 5.7 5.6 4.5 3.8 4.3 2.8 2.6 2.8 2.3 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.1 0.8
Danielle Aragon 19.7 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.3 2.4 2.5 3.1 3.4 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.6 3.4 3.1 4.7 3.2 3.9 3.7 3.8 4.1
Lexi Pelletier 36.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.2 1.9 2.1
Rachel DaDamio 38.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.9
Sydney Foreman 57.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4
Jessica Harris 78.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 9.0% 100.0% 9.0 9.0 1
2 16.1% 100.0% 16.1 16.1 2
3 23.5% 100.0% 0.8 1.8 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.2 3.5 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 23.5 3
4 25.8% 99.4% 0.8 1.5 2.1 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.3 4.2 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 25.7 4
5 18.3% 96.2% 0.4 0.6 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.3 3.6 2.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.7 17.6 5
6 5.7% 27.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 4.1 1.6 6
7 1.2% 1.2 7
8 0.5% 0.5 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 93.4% 9.0 16.1 0.8 2.5 5.0 5.8 8.4 8.6 9.5 7.9 9.3 4.9 2.8 1.7 1.3 6.6 25.1 68.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Yale 92.0% 1.0 0.9
BYU 86.9% 1.0 0.9
Harvard 74.3% 1.0 0.7
Penn 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Villanova 62.9% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 54.6% 1.0 0.5
Minnesota 31.9% 2.0 0.6
California 28.9% 1.0 0.3
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
SMU 16.3% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Air Force 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Virginia Tech 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 2.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.4% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 2.0 0.0
Texas 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 3.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 8.3
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 15.0